Power Transition and Peace: The Case of Northern Ireland

Institutional Affiliation

Xavier University

Start Date

January 2026

End Date

January 2026

Proposal Type

Presentation

Proposal Format

On-campus

Proposal Description

Power Transition theory historically has been used to explain the risk of war associated with the rise and fall of great powers in world politics. The Peace Process in Northern Ireland was built on an attempt to institutionalize power sharing and a parity of esteem between the two major communities in this jurisdiction. The challenge has been that unionists have lost power moving from a monopoly of power to sharing power. This has proven difficult for a group who historically perceives itself under siege. For the nationalist community the institutions created by the Good Friday Agreement provided them more power in the Northern Ireland context than they had under the original governing system for Northern Ireland. However, in the post-Brexit period nationalists have increasingly sought to move beyond power-sharing to their ultimate goal of Irish unity. This narrative threatens the unionist community and undermines existing efforts to realize effective power-sharing in the Northern Ireland context. This power transition in the Northern Ireland context is a sub-plot in the wider transition of power and influence between Ireland and the United Kingdom in a historical perspective.

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Jan 15th, 3:30 PM Jan 15th, 5:00 PM

Power Transition and Peace: The Case of Northern Ireland

Power Transition theory historically has been used to explain the risk of war associated with the rise and fall of great powers in world politics. The Peace Process in Northern Ireland was built on an attempt to institutionalize power sharing and a parity of esteem between the two major communities in this jurisdiction. The challenge has been that unionists have lost power moving from a monopoly of power to sharing power. This has proven difficult for a group who historically perceives itself under siege. For the nationalist community the institutions created by the Good Friday Agreement provided them more power in the Northern Ireland context than they had under the original governing system for Northern Ireland. However, in the post-Brexit period nationalists have increasingly sought to move beyond power-sharing to their ultimate goal of Irish unity. This narrative threatens the unionist community and undermines existing efforts to realize effective power-sharing in the Northern Ireland context. This power transition in the Northern Ireland context is a sub-plot in the wider transition of power and influence between Ireland and the United Kingdom in a historical perspective.