Predicting Responses of Geo-ecological Carbonate Reef Systems to Climate Change: A Conceptual Model and Review

Book Title

Oceanography and Marine Biology: An Annual Review

Authors

Nicola K. Browne, Curtin University
Michael Cuttler, University of Western Australia
Katie Moon, University of New South Wales
Kyle Morgan, Nanyang Technological University
Claire L. Ross, Conservation and Attractions, Perth
Carolina Castro-Sanguino, University of Queensland
Emma Kennedy, University of Queensland; Australian Institute of Marine Science
Dan Harris, University of Queensland
Peter Barnes, Conservation and Attractions, Perth
Andrew G. Bauman, National University of SingaporeFollow
Eddie Beetham, Tonkin and Taylor International Ltd.
Joshua Bonesso, University of Western Australia
Yves-Marie Bozec, University of Queensland
Christopher E. Cornwall, Victoria University of Wellington
Shannon Dee, Curtin University
Thomas M. DeCarlo, Hawaii Pacific University
Juan P. D'Olivo, Freie Universitat Berlin
Christopher Doropoulos, CSIRO
Richard D. Evans, University of Western Australia; Conservation and Attractions, Perth
Bradley Eyre, Southern Cross University
Peter Gatenby, Curtin University
Manuel Gonzalez, Australian Institute of Marine Science
Sarah Hamylton, University of Wollongong
Jeff Hansen, University of Western Australia
Ryan Lowe, University of Western Australia
Jennie Mallela, Australian National University - Canberra
Michael O'Leary, University of Western Australia
George Roff, University of Queensland
Benjamin J. Saunders, Curtin University
Adi Zweilfer, University of Western Australia

ORCID ID

0000-0001-9260-2153

Document Type

Book Chapter

ISBN

781003138846

Publication Date

2022

Editors

S. J. Hawkins, A. J. Lemasson, A. L. Allcock, A. E. Bates, M. Byrne, A. J. Evans, L. B. Firth, E. M. Marzinelli, B. D. Russell, I. P. Smith, S. E. Swearer, P. A. Todd

Description

[Chapter Abstract] 230Coral reefs provide critical ecological and geomorphic (e.g. sediment production for reef-fronted shoreline maintenance) services, which interact in complex and dynamic ways. These services are under threat from climate change, requiring dynamic modelling approaches that predict how reef systems will respond to different future climate scenarios. Carbonate budgets, which estimate net reef calcium carbonate production, provide a comprehensive ‘snap-shot’ assessment of reef accretionary potential and reef stability. These budgets, however, were not intended to account for the full suite of processes that maintain coral reef services or to provide predictive capacity on longer timescales (decadal to centennial). To respond to the dual challenges of enhancing carbonate budget assessments and advancing their predictive capacity, we applied a novel model elicitation and review method to create a qualitative geo-ecological carbonate reef system model that links geomorphic, ecological and physical processes. Our approach conceptualizes relationships between net carbonate production, sediment transport and landform stability, and rates knowledge confidence to reveal major knowledge gaps and critical future research pathways. The model provides a blueprint for future coral reef research that aims to quantify net carbonate production and sediment dynamics, improving our capacity to predict responses of reefs and reef-fronted shorelines to future climate change.

Publisher

Routledge

First Page

229

Last Page

370

Additional Information

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.

Disciplines

Life Sciences | Marine Biology

NSUWorks Citation

Browne, Nicola K.; Michael Cuttler; Katie Moon; Kyle Morgan; Claire L. Ross; Carolina Castro-Sanguino; Emma Kennedy; Dan Harris; Peter Barnes; Andrew G. Bauman; Eddie Beetham; Joshua Bonesso; Yves-Marie Bozec; Christopher E. Cornwall; Shannon Dee; Thomas M. DeCarlo; Juan P. D'Olivo; Christopher Doropoulos; Richard D. Evans; Bradley Eyre; Peter Gatenby; Manuel Gonzalez; Sarah Hamylton; Jeff Hansen; Ryan Lowe; Jennie Mallela; Michael O'Leary; George Roff; Benjamin J. Saunders; and Adi Zweilfer. (2022). Predicting Responses of Geo-ecological Carbonate Reef Systems to Climate Change: A Conceptual Model and Review. In S. J. Hawkins, A. J. Lemasson, A. L. Allcock, A. E. Bates, M. Byrne, A. J. Evans, L. B. Firth, E. M. Marzinelli, B. D. Russell, I. P. Smith, S. E. Swearer, P. A. Todd (Eds.), Oceanography and Marine Biology: An Annual Review .

Files