Marine & Environmental Sciences Faculty Articles
Interacting Regional-Scale Regime Shifts for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services
Document Type
Article
Publication Date
8-2014
Publication Title
Bioscience
Keywords
Biodiversity change, Human–environment interactions, Tipping points, South America, Southeast Asia
ISSN
0006-3568
Volume
64
Issue/No.
8
First Page
665
Last Page
679
Abstract
Current trajectories of global change may lead to regime shifts at regional scales, driving coupled human–environment systems to highly degraded states in terms of biodiversity, ecosystem services, and human well-being. For business-as-usual socioeconomic development pathways, regime shifts are projected to occur within the next several decades, to be difficult to reverse, and to have regional- to global-scale impacts on human society. We provide an overview of ecosystem, socioeconomic, and biophysical mechanisms mediating regime shifts and illustrate how these interact at regional scales by aggregation, synergy, and spreading processes. We give detailed examples of interactions for terrestrial ecosystems of central South America and for marine and coastal ecosystems of Southeast Asia. This analysis suggests that degradation of biodiversity and ecosystem services over the twenty-first century could be far greater than was previously predicted. We identify key policy and management opportunities at regional to global scales to avoid these shifts.
NSUWorks Citation
Paul Leadley, Juan Fernandez-Manjarres, Enora Bruley, Vania Proenca, Henrique M. Pereira, Rob Alkemade, Reinette Biggs, William Cheung, David Cooper, Joana Figueiredo, Eric Gilman, Sylvie Guenette, George Hurtt, Cheikh Mbow, Thierry Oberdorff, The Nature Conservancy, Jörn P. W. Scharlemann, Matt Walpole, Robert Scholes, Mark Stafford Smith, and U. Rashid Sumaila. 2014. Interacting Regional-Scale Regime Shifts for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services .Bioscience , (8) : 665 -679. https://nsuworks.nova.edu/occ_facarticles/417.
ORCID ID
0000-0001-6597-0268
DOI
10.1093/biosci/biu093
Comments
©The Author(s) 2014