Mathematics Faculty Articles

Document Type


Publication Date


Publication Title

Acta Tropica


Aedes aegypti, mosquito control, vector-borne disease, mathematical modeling, population dynamics






Aedes aegypti is one of the most dominant mosquito species in the urban areas of Miami-Dade County, Florida, and is responsible for the local arbovirus transmissions. Since August 2016, mosquito traps have been placed throughout the county to improve surveillance and guide mosquito control and arbovirus outbreak response. In this paper, we develop a deterministic mosquito population model, estimate model parameters by using local entomological and temperature data, and use the model to calibrate the mosquito trap data from 2017 to 2019. We further use the model to compare the Ae. aegypti population and evaluate the impact of rainfall intensity in different urban built environments. Our results show that rainfall affects the breeding sites and the abundance of Ae. aegypti more significantly in tourist areas than in residential places. In addition, we apply the model to quantitatively assess the effectiveness of vector control strategies in Miami-Dade County.


0001-706X/© 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (

Additional Comments

This research was partially supported by the National Science Foundation (DMS-1853622, DMS-1853562), the Miami-Dade Mosquito Control Division, and the CDC ( grant 1U01CK000510-05: Southeastern Regional Center of Excellence in Vector-Borne Diseases: The Gateway Program. NSF and CDC had no role in the design of the study and collection, analysis, and interpretation of data and in writing the manuscript. The authors would like to thank the two anonymous reviewers for their helpful comments and valuable suggestions.

Creative Commons License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.




Peer Reviewed

Find in your library

Included in

Mathematics Commons